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Snapshot · OMB 2025 inventory · processed Oct 11, 2026
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Federal AI Intelligence · U.S. Government AI Observatory

Federal AI landscape: executive briefing

Filtered: stage = pilot; function = forecasting

Generated 2026-10-12 22:10 UTCDataset: 2025 Federal Agency AI Use Case Inventory (individually reported use cases), Office of Management and Budget (OMB). Version 2025-inventory@62d5baa65fa3, processed 2026-10-11, rules 2026.10.1. Static snapshot.Applied filters: stage = pilot; function = forecasting · 26 records

Key findings

  • 26 use-case records from 9 agencies: 0 deployed (0%), 26 pilots, 0 in development or acquisition, 0 retired, 0 with no stage reported.
  • 1 records are designated high-impact; 0 of them (0%) answered at least one minimum-practice question.
  • DOI, DOE, HHS report 19 of 26 use cases (73%).
  • Sourcing is reported for 100% of use cases. Where reported, 81% involve in-house development.

Lifecycle

StageRecordsShare
Pilot26100%

AI technology

ClassificationRecordsShareDeployed
Generative AI623%0
Classical / predictive ML1869%0
Computer vision14%0
Other14%0

Agencies

AgencyRecordsDeployedHigh-impactCompleteness
DOI · Department of the Interior1100100%
DOE · Department of Energy501100%
HHS · Department of Health and Human Services300100%
USDA · Department of Agriculture200100%
NASA · National Aeronautics and Space Administration100100%
FRB · Federal Reserve Board100100%
DOJ · Department of Justice100100%
DHS · Department of Homeland Security100100%
TREAS · Department of the Treasury100100%

High-impact designation

DesignationRecords
High-impact1
Presumed high-impact, determined not1
Not high-impact24

Governance evidence: use cases designated high-impact

PracticeIn placeIn progressNot in placeN/A or precludedOtherNo answerIn scope
Pre-deployment testing0000011
AI impact assessment0000011
Independent review0000011
Ongoing monitoring0000011
Operator training0000011
Fail-safe0000011
Appeal process0000011
User and public consultation0000011

"In place" means the agency reported the practice as established. "No answer" means the field was blank; it says nothing about whether the practice exists.

Method

All figures are computed directly from the normalised inventory records. Category labels are normalised from the source answer options; original values are kept on each record. Governance answers are classified as in place, in progress, not in place, not applicable, precluded, waived, other or no answer, and blanks are never read as "no". See the Methodology page for full rules.

Limitations

  • Figures are what agencies reported in the 2025 inventory. They are not verified, and registration of use cases is not complete for every agency.
  • A blank answer is missing evidence, not evidence that a practice or safeguard is absent.
  • Counts are use-case records. A larger portfolio does not indicate better performance or greater AI maturity, and agencies differ in how they split systems into use cases.
  • The inventory has no budget, cost, accuracy or outcome data. None is shown or inferred here.
  • This is a disclosure analysis. It is not an audit, a compliance determination or an official government assessment.

Source records

All 26 records.

RecordAgency IDAgencyUse caseStage
R0433NASA-814NASATime Series Forecasting, Evaluation and Deployment (Time-FED)Pilot
R0563FRB-0010FRBVariable OptimizationPilot
R0739HHSCenter for Forecast and Analytics (CFA) Model StudioPilot
R0808HHSIntegrated Data Repository (IDR) Customer Analytic Environment (CAE)Pilot
R0840HHSDrug Shortage Predictive ModelPilot
R1378USDA-077USDARegression, Classification, Clustering with Hilbert CurvesPilot
R1458USDA-160USDALong-term monitoring of northern spotted owl habitat and populationsPilot
R1514DOJ-0044DOJDatabricks (Forecasting, predictive analytics, data/statistical analysis)Pilot
R1884DHS-2454DHSLIGER Generative AI ToolkitPilot
R2529DOI-0234DOIData-Driven Streamflow Drought [2024 INV#WO0000000109714]Pilot
R2531DOI-0232DOIUse of artificial intelligence tools for optimization and documentation for computer codes [2024 INV#WO0000000109681]Pilot
R2540DOI-0223DOIOceanographic, coastal, and geomorphic change analysis: data generation, QC/QA, and data management [2024 INV#WO0000000109310]Pilot
R2581DOI-0182DOIWave runup and total water level observations from time series imagery at several sites with varying nearshore morphologies [2024 INV#WO0000000108262]Pilot
R2585DOI-0178DOIMachine learning based shoreline time-series imputation, classification and forecasting (time-series analyses) [2024 INV#WO0000000108117]Pilot
R2604DOI-0158DOIHOTLink: identifying elevated thermal anomalies at volcanoes [2024 INV#WO0000000109217]Pilot
R2632DOI-0123DOIWildfire Risk Assessment & Predictive ModelingPilot
R2654DOI-0105DOIExperimental Forecast for River ChlorophyllPilot
R2671DOI-0061DOIInvasive Carp Harvest Predictive ModelPilot
R2702DOI-0047DOISeasonal Water Supply Forecasting: Pyforecast [2024 INV#DOI-69]Pilot
R2703DOI-0046DOIPiloting Machine Learning Inflow Forecasts Across Reclamation [2024 INV#DOI-58]Pilot
R2781REQ-2024-01953TREASGenAI Productivity Tool PilotPilot
R3373DOE-514DOEBernie-AI: Infrastructure Planning Support POCPilot
R3386DOE-529DOENIF Shot Analytics & Predictive Maintenance Support PilotPilot
R3398DOE-541DOEVIPER (Visualizaiton for Predictive Maintenance Recommendation)Pilot
R3571DOE-714DOEAdvanced Long Term Environmental Monitoring Systems (ALTEMIS)Pilot
R3588DOE-73DOEMachine Learning for Accelerator Operations Using Big Data Analytics / L-CAPEPilot

Prepared with Federal AI Intelligence by Irakli Petriashvili. Source: https://github.com/ombegov/2025-Federal-Agency-AI-Use-Case-Inventory