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Snapshot · OMB 2025 inventory · processed Oct 11, 2026
Federal AI Intelligence · U.S. Government AI Observatory

Custom inventory report

Filter: AI type = classical_ml; sourcing = in_house; function = forecasting

Generated 2026-10-12 21:48 UTCDataset: 2025 Federal Agency AI Use Case Inventory (individually reported use cases), Office of Management and Budget (OMB). Version 2025-inventory@62d5baa65fa3, processed 2026-10-11, rules 2026.10.1. Static snapshot.Applied filters: AI type = classical_ml; sourcing = in_house; function = forecasting · 32 records

Key findings

  • 32 use-case records from 10 agencies: 15 deployed (47%), 14 pilots, 2 in development or acquisition, 1 retired, 0 with no stage reported.
  • 3 records are designated high-impact; 1 of them (33%) answered at least one minimum-practice question.
  • DOI, DHS, HHS report 20 of 32 use cases (63%).
  • 0% of reported deployed use cases (0 of 15) are classified as generative or agentic AI.
  • Of 2 deployed high-impact use cases, 1 report a completed AI impact assessment and 1 leave every minimum-practice field blank.
  • Interpretation: Blank practice fields are missing evidence, not evidence that a safeguard is absent. They mark where follow-up questions to the agency are most useful.
  • Sourcing is reported for 100% of use cases. Where reported, 100% involve in-house development.

Lifecycle

StageRecordsShare
Deployed1547%
Pilot1444%
Pre-deployment26%
Retired13%

AI technology

ClassificationRecordsShareDeployed
Classical / predictive ML32100%15

Agencies

AgencyRecordsDeployedHigh-impactCompleteness
DOI · Department of the Interior123099%
DHS · Department of Homeland Security551100%
HHS · Department of Health and Human Services320100%
USDA · Department of Agriculture310100%
DOE · Department of Energy311100%
FRB · Federal Reserve Board210100%
FHFA · Federal Housing Finance Agency110100%
NASA · National Aeronautics and Space Administration100100%
NCUA · National Credit Union Administration111100%
SBA · Small Business Administration100100%

High-impact designation

DesignationRecords
High-impact3
Presumed high-impact, determined not1
Not high-impact28

Governance evidence: use cases designated high-impact

PracticeIn placeIn progressNot in placeN/A or precludedOtherNo answerIn scope
Pre-deployment testing1000023
AI impact assessment1000023
Independent review1000023
Ongoing monitoring1000023
Operator training1000023
Fail-safe1000023
Appeal process0001023
User and public consultation0000123

"In place" means the agency reported the practice as established. "No answer" means the field was blank; it says nothing about whether the practice exists.

Method

All figures are computed directly from the normalised inventory records. Category labels are normalised from the source answer options; original values are kept on each record. Governance answers are classified as in place, in progress, not in place, not applicable, precluded, waived, other or no answer, and blanks are never read as "no". See the Methodology page for full rules.

Limitations

  • Figures are what agencies reported in the 2025 inventory. They are not verified, and registration of use cases is not complete for every agency.
  • A blank answer is missing evidence, not evidence that a practice or safeguard is absent.
  • Counts are use-case records. A larger portfolio does not indicate better performance or greater AI maturity, and agencies differ in how they split systems into use cases.
  • The inventory has no budget, cost, accuracy or outcome data. None is shown or inferred here.
  • This is a disclosure analysis. It is not an audit, a compliance determination or an official government assessment.

Source records

All 32 records.

RecordAgency IDAgencyUse caseStage
R0068FHFA-2FHFANeural Networks for FHFA Modeling Analytics Platform (FMAP)Deployed
R0558FRB-0001FRBEconomic Trend ModelingDeployed
R0695HHSMachine Learning with Premier Healthcare Data to inform predictive modeling of antibiotic useDeployed
R0833HHSSupply Chain Resilience Program, Office of Supply Chain Resilience (OSCR) - ForesightDeployed
R1332USDA-027USDAOperational Water Supply Forecasting for Western US RiversDeployed
R1890DHS-2391DHSIllicit TradeDeployed
R1937DHS-95DHSTrade Entity Risk ModelDeployed
R1963DHS-106DHSCritical Infrastructure Network Anomaly DetectionDeployed
R1970DHS-2722DHSIndividual Assistance (IA) Predictive Models for Program QuantitiesDeployed
R1983DHS-2432DHSAirport Throughput Predictive ModelDeployed
R2435NCUA_ONES-02NCUASupervisory Stress TestingDeployed
R2533DOI-0230DOIDelineating sub-surface drainage using satellite imagery [2024 INV#WO0000000109525]Deployed
R2658DOI-0100DOIPredicting post-fire tree mortalityDeployed
R2729DOI-0016DOIPerformance Modeling / Performance ForecastingDeployed
R3293DOE-351DOEElucidating Genetic and Environmental Risk Factors for Antipsychotic-induced Metabolic Adverse Effects Using AIDeployed
R0433NASA-814NASATime Series Forecasting, Evaluation and Deployment (Time-FED)Pilot
R0563FRB-0010FRBVariable OptimizationPilot
R0840HHSDrug Shortage Predictive ModelPilot
R1378USDA-077USDARegression, Classification, Clustering with Hilbert CurvesPilot
R1458USDA-160USDALong-term monitoring of northern spotted owl habitat and populationsPilot
R2529DOI-0234DOIData-Driven Streamflow Drought [2024 INV#WO0000000109714]Pilot
R2540DOI-0223DOIOceanographic, coastal, and geomorphic change analysis: data generation, QC/QA, and data management [2024 INV#WO0000000109310]Pilot
R2585DOI-0178DOIMachine learning based shoreline time-series imputation, classification and forecasting (time-series analyses) [2024 INV#WO0000000108117]Pilot
R2598DOI-0165DOITsunami Hazard Analysis [2024 INV#WO0000000108470]Pre-deployment
R2604DOI-0158DOIHOTLink: identifying elevated thermal anomalies at volcanoes [2024 INV#WO0000000109217]Pilot
R2654DOI-0105DOIExperimental Forecast for River ChlorophyllPilot
R2671DOI-0061DOIInvasive Carp Harvest Predictive ModelPilot
R2702DOI-0047DOISeasonal Water Supply Forecasting: Pyforecast [2024 INV#DOI-69]Pilot
R2707DOI-0041DOIImproved Processing and Analysis of Test and Operating Data from Rotating Machines [2024 INV#DOI-62]Pre-deployment
R3177SBA-17SBAGovCon MatchRetired
R3571DOE-714DOEAdvanced Long Term Environmental Monitoring Systems (ALTEMIS)Pilot
R3588DOE-73DOEMachine Learning for Accelerator Operations Using Big Data Analytics / L-CAPEPilot

Prepared with Federal AI Intelligence by Irakli Petriashvili. Source: https://github.com/ombegov/2025-Federal-Agency-AI-Use-Case-Inventory