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Snapshot · OMB 2025 inventory · processed Oct 11, 2026
Federal AI Intelligence · U.S. Government AI Observatory

Custom inventory report

Filter: AI type = classical_ml; sourcing = unknown; function = forecasting

Generated 2026-10-12 18:10 UTCDataset: 2025 Federal Agency AI Use Case Inventory (individually reported use cases), Office of Management and Budget (OMB). Version 2025-inventory@62d5baa65fa3, processed 2026-10-11, rules 2026.10.1. Static snapshot.Applied filters: AI type = classical_ml; sourcing = unknown; function = forecasting · 33 records

Key findings

  • 33 use-case records from 11 agencies: 1 deployed (3%), 0 pilots, 32 in development or acquisition, 0 retired, 0 with no stage reported.
  • 4 records are designated high-impact; 0 of them (0%) answered at least one minimum-practice question.
  • NASA, DOI, VA report 20 of 33 use cases (61%).
  • 0% of reported deployed use cases (0 of 1) are classified as generative or agentic AI.
  • Sourcing is reported for 0% of use cases. Where reported, n/a involve in-house development.

Lifecycle

StageRecordsShare
Deployed13%
Pre-deployment3297%

AI technology

ClassificationRecordsShareDeployed
Classical / predictive ML33100%1

Agencies

AgencyRecordsDeployedHigh-impactCompleteness
NASA · National Aeronautics and Space Administration120058%
DOI · Department of the Interior50083%
VA · Department of Veterans Affairs30258%
DOE · Department of Energy30158%
HHS · Department of Health and Human Services20058%
USDA · Department of Agriculture20058%
TREAS · Department of the Treasury20063%
GSA · General Services Administration11033%
DOT · Department of Transportation10058%
DOJ · Department of Justice10058%
DHS · Department of Homeland Security10158%

High-impact designation

DesignationRecords
High-impact4
Presumed high-impact, determined not1
Not high-impact27
Not reported1

Governance evidence: use cases designated high-impact

PracticeIn placeIn progressNot in placeN/A or precludedOtherNo answerIn scope
Pre-deployment testing0000044
AI impact assessment0000044
Independent review0000044
Ongoing monitoring0000044
Operator training0000044
Fail-safe0000044
Appeal process0000044
User and public consultation0000044

"In place" means the agency reported the practice as established. "No answer" means the field was blank; it says nothing about whether the practice exists.

Method

All figures are computed directly from the normalised inventory records. Category labels are normalised from the source answer options; original values are kept on each record. Governance answers are classified as in place, in progress, not in place, not applicable, precluded, waived, other or no answer, and blanks are never read as "no". See the Methodology page for full rules.

Limitations

  • Figures are what agencies reported in the 2025 inventory. They are not verified, and registration of use cases is not complete for every agency.
  • A blank answer is missing evidence, not evidence that a practice or safeguard is absent.
  • Counts are use-case records. A larger portfolio does not indicate better performance or greater AI maturity, and agencies differ in how they split systems into use cases.
  • The inventory has no budget, cost, accuracy or outcome data. None is shown or inferred here.
  • This is a disclosure analysis. It is not an audit, a compliance determination or an official government assessment.

Source records

All 33 records.

RecordAgency IDAgencyUse caseStage
R1179GSAElastic Machine Learning Threat Detection (Phase 1)Deployed
R0195NASA-317NASAGeostationary Satellite Sounder Pathfinder Project for 4-D Atmospheric Thermodynamics and WindsPre-deployment
R0264NASA-506NASASERVIR Applied Deep Learning BookPre-deployment
R0304NASA-583NASABias correction of GEOS S2S forecast using machine learningPre-deployment
R0315NASA-602NASADevelopment of a machine learning emulator for CAM-CMAQ to improve wildfire smoke forecastsPre-deployment
R0329NASA-620NASAGenerating localized air quality forecasts for US embassies using ML and GEOS-FPPre-deployment
R0339NASA-636NASALocalized air quality forecasts for cities in Africa and South AmericaPre-deployment
R0368NASA-667NASARangelands Water Monitoring and Forecasting SystemPre-deployment
R0467NASA-865NASAA Forecasting Scheme For Accelerated Harmful Algal Bloom Monitoring (FASTHAB)Pre-deployment
R0470NASA-868NASAIntegrating Explainable Machine Learning with Physics for Enhanced Wildfire Detection in Observation-Constrained EnvironmentsPre-deployment
R0481NASA-879NASAData-Mining Similar Scenarios for Uncertainty Quantification of Solar Wind Predictions at L1Pre-deployment
R0491NASA-893NASANominal Forecast Sub System for the NASA Coastal Zone Digital TwinPre-deployment
R0510NASA-915NASADevelopment of a Next-Generation Ensemble Prediction System for Atmospheric CompositionPre-deployment
R0800HHSRA and RADV Predictive Modeling and Methodology EvaluationPre-deployment
R0873HHSAI-Enhanced FDA Regulated Commodity Consumption Pattern AnalysisPre-deployment
R1230DOT-1000035DOTPredictive Analytics Using Autonomous Track Geometry Measurement System (ATGMS) DataPre-deployment
R1317USDA-004USDAPredictive Modeling of Invasive Pest SpeciesPre-deployment
R1468USDA-170USDAPreseason Corn and Soybeans ForecastsPre-deployment
R1510DOJ-0040DOJSAS (Forecasting, predictive analytics, data/statistical analysis)Pre-deployment
R1792DHS-314DHSAdvance RPM Maintenance Operating Reporter (ARMOR)Pre-deployment
R2094VA-24-2828VAPharmacy AI Managed Inventory System (PHAIMIS)Pre-deployment
R2104VA-24-462VABilling Claims PredictionPre-deployment
R2196VA-25-4094VAPestScore VA: AI-Driven Pest Risk ForecastingPre-deployment
R2500DOI-0266DOIUse of AI to Enhance Flash Flood Forecast Tool [2024 Inv#WO0000000110323]Pre-deployment
R2599DOI-0167DOIMachine learning for streamflow forecasting [2024 INV#WO0000000109317]Pre-deployment
R2649DOI-0107DOIStorm Induced Erosion Response NetworkPre-deployment
R2692DOI-0058DOIAveva Predictive Analytics (APA)Pre-deployment
R2717DOI-0031DOINutrient, Salinity, sediment, temperature, and drought model developmentPre-deployment
R2771BEP-41TREASInk and Paper Consumption Forecast (IPCF)Pre-deployment
R2776MINT-02TREASAI-Driven Predictive Maintenance for Mint Manufacturing Equipment and Production AssetsPre-deployment
R3428DOE-572DOEUse ML as part of an integrated strategy for forecasting renewable energy resourcesPre-deployment
R3447DOE-592DOEUse AI/ML for Climate PredictionPre-deployment
R3594DOE-736DOEIdentifying Controlling Variables for Mercury Vapor Release at Y-12's Alpha-4Pre-deployment

Prepared with Federal AI Intelligence by Irakli Petriashvili. Source: https://github.com/ombegov/2025-Federal-Agency-AI-Use-Case-Inventory